minyaaa($99)aak … 060511


Harga minyak mentah dunia jatuh hampir 10% hingga kembali di bawah level US$ 100 per barel. Data perekonomian AS yang mengecewakan dan penguatan dolar langsung memicu spekulasi untuk menurunkan harga minyak.

Pada perdagangan Kamis (5/5/2011), minyak West Texas Intermediate light sweet pengiriman Juni merosot hingga 9,44 dolar atau 8,6% menjadi US$ 99,80 per barel. Ini adalah penurunan terbesar kedua dalam sejarah.

Minyak Brent pengiriman Juni juga merosot hingga 10,39 dolar menjadi US$ 110,80 per barel. Harga bahkan sempat menyentuh US$ 109,02 per barel.

Ini adalah kemerosotan terbesar harga minyak setelah sejak awal tahun terus melonjak tajam hingga menembus level US$ 100 per barel. Harga minyak light menembus rekor tertingginya di US$ 115 per barel pada 2 Mei menyusul kekisruhan geopolitik dan krisis nuklir di Jepang.

Harga minyak sempat mengalami tekanan jual besar ketika Lehman Brothers kolaps. Ketika itu, harga minyak sempat anjlok hingga 12 dolar hanya dalam sehari.

“Ini telah menjadi sebuah perdagangan besar. Setiap orang sudah berada pada posisi jangka panjang minyak. Namun ini kemudian menjadi perdagangan keluar yang paling cepat. Semua orang ingin keluar pada saat yang sama,” ujar Rich Ilczyszyn, analis dari Lind-Waldock seperti dikutip dari AFP, Jumat (6/5/2011).

Penguatan dolar AS atas euro lebih dari 2 sen dipicu oleh pernyataan Gubernur Bank Sentral AS memicu anjloknya harga minyak tersebut. Sentimen negatif juga muncul setelah keluarnya data pengangguran AS yang memberikan sinyal proses pemulihan ekonomi sedang berlangsung.

Llaim baru untuk keuntungan asuransi pengangguran AS mencapai 474.000 pada pekan yang berakhir pada 30 April, yang menunjukkan kenaikan hingga 10% dibandingkan pekan sebelumnya.

“Siklus ‘bull’ jangka panjang masih ada, namun koreksi ini mungkin akan memiliki siklus dalam beberapa bulan, karena data ekonomi memicu koreksi ini dalam porsi yang lebih besar,” ujar Sterling Smith, analis senior dari Country Hedging Inc seperti dikutip dari Reuters.

Sumber: detikcom

NEW YORK, May 5, 2011 (AFP)
Crude oil prices plunged Thursday, dragging New York’s main contract below $100 a barrel for the first time since March 16, after disappointing US jobs data and the dollar’s rise spurred demand fears.

New York’s main contract, West Texas Intermediate light sweet crude for June, closed at $99.80 a barrel, down $9.44, or 8.6 percent, from Wednesday.

The WTI contract continued to fall after the market closed, heading toward $98 a barrel.

In London, Brent North Sea crude for delivery in June slumped $10.39 to settle at $110.8 a barrel.

Prices had moved sharply higher, with WTI almost reaching the $115 a barrel mark on May 2, amid Arab unrest and the nuclear crisis in Japan that unfolded after the March 11 earthquake-tsunami disaster.

“It has been a heck of a great trade. Everyone has been long oil,” said Rich Ilczyszyn at Lind-Waldock.

“Then it became the quickest out of the trade. Everyone is trying to get out at the same time.”

Booming commodities markets suddenly found themselves swept into sell-off mode in part spurred by a firming of the dollar, which makes dollar-priced oil and metals less attractive to investors.

The greenback gained ground against other major currencies — particularly the euro, adding more than two cents, after comments by European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet were more dovish than expected.

Oil prices also took a hit after a US jobs report signaled the labor market recovery was struggling, ahead of Friday’s key April employment numbers.

Oil headed south “as doubts about the US economy and its ability to sustain demand growth trump geopolitical tensions,” said John Kilduff at Again Capital.

New claims for US unemployment insurance benefits leaped to a whopping 474,000 in the week ending April 30, a 10 percent increase from the prior week and an eight-month high, the Labor Department reported.

The rise surprised most analysts who had forecast a decline to 400,000.

CMC Markets analyst Michael Hewson added that oil was also under heavy selling pressure from fears of slowing economic growth around the world.

“Poor economic data out of the US and rising interest rate policies in China and India have prompted fears of growth slowdowns across the global economy, and therefore drops in demand, sending oil lower,” he added.

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  1. Trackback: kejar 1 M (051) H-184 | Jl. MAEN SAHAM (read: Stock Trading St.)

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