100 semakin dekat lage … 070410


… di komoditas tembaga yang juga melejit harganya sudah ada pandangan bahwa kenaekan harga yang terjadi akhir-akhir ini disebabkan oleh MANAJER INVESTASI (fund manager) … gw jadi inget kejadian taon 2008 yaitu spekulasi besar-besaran di bursa komoditas global hingga $600 Milyar padahal biasanya setahun palingan 100 M dolar doank … juga gw mencatat kejadian harga minyak global pertama kali menyentuh batas $100/barel 2008 : bahwa ada 1 orang spekulan di bursa komoditas berjangka amrik menaruh harga beli $100 dengan 1 unit saja … lalu tercapailah …
Kenaikan harga minyak akibat spekulasi
Selasa, 06/04/2010 22:44:58 WIBOleh: AP
DOHA, Qatar (AP): Menteri Perminyakan Qatar menegaskan kenaikan harga minyak baru-baru ini sepenuhnya didorong oleh motif spekulasi bukan disebabkan kelangkaan pasokan.

Abdullah bin Hamad al-Attiyah mengatakan tidak perlu bagi Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) untuk mengadakan pertemuan khusus membahas kenaikan harga minyak akhir-akhir ini.

Pertemuan 12 negara anggota OPEC yang memasok 35% minyak dunia ini, dijadwalkan pada Oktober.

Harga minyak bergerak pada kisaran US$86 per barel, mendekati level tertinggi dalam 18 bulan, setelah para trader mencermati perbaikan ekonomi AS yang bisa merangsang permintaan minyak mentah.

Al-Attiyah menegaskan tidak perlu ada pertemuan khusus OPEC karena kenaikan harga itu tidak ada kaitannya dengan kekurangan pasokan.(yn)

… baca juga bila 100 dolar / barel terjadi lage (posting ini gw daur ulang dari catatan 2008):
$100 per barrel. So what?

By Sergio Ferreira / Published on Thu, 2008-01-03 12:46

Price of oil exceeds 100 dollars for the first time in history – news from Portugal (150)
Yesterday, the barrel of oil was traded at over 100 dollars at the New York market. This is likely the effect of a normal New Year’s “rush” from buyers coupled with the instability and violence in Nigeria and Argelia, two OPEC members.
The “cocktail” of current instability and the growing demand from countries like China and India does not draw a clear scenario – the price can go down 20 dollars or go up until 120 or 150 dollar a barrel in a few weeks. Nevertheless, experts state that the price will not go down to much lower levels. The IEA even admitted in a recent report the possibility of rupture on the global supply market.
But how does our life change with high prices of oil?
There is not a great danger on inflation rocketing because of the high value of Euro face to dollar.The most direct impact will be on fuel and energy prices that will inevitably have an effect on all other products and activities, particularly transport.
Experts state that even with this escalade, the “shock” caused by the demand growth from India and China together with speculation is having less serious effects than the 70s oil shock caused by the cartelization of prices by OPEC. This, because western countries are less dependant on oil. And here lies the big issue.
Growth and development will depend on the capacity of evolving to a drastically less oil dependant economy and industry. If in the short term that scenario is likely not to happen, on the medium-long term it is almost certain.
There will also be significant consequences for the electricity sector. High oil prices and mainly the instability of the price and supply will make the sector turn even more to indigenous or renewable energy sources, and to improve the efficiency of generation and distribution. To note that nuclear is also back on the agenda.
Furthermore, there is also more pressure to reduce demand. Investments in energy efficiency or energy conservation in industry and buildings make even more sense, at least in economic terms. And the more expensive oil gets, more the balance favours energy efficiency.
In the end, the benefit will be a more efficient society and cleaner environment.
Should we fear and dramatise high oil prices, or should we welcome an inevitable change?

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